U.S. National Weather Service meteorologist in North Carolina warns that Hurricane Florence bring historical rainfall and unprecedented flooding to the SouthEast

September 12, 2018 |


Hurricane Florence viewed from the space
VietPress USA (Sept. 12, 2018): The National Weather Service office in Newport, North Carolina, warned Wednesday that the rainfall could be historic and the flooding unprecedented when the Hurricane Florence is forecast to stall near the South Carolina/North Carolina coastline into Friday night and then drift towards Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Florence will likely weaken to a Category 1 storm Friday or Saturday.
"This will likely be the storm of a lifetime for portions of the Carolina coast, and that's saying a lot given the impacts we've seen from Hurricanes Diana, Hugo, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd, and Matthew," according to one National Weather Service meteorologist in Wilmington, North Carolina. "I can't emphasize enough the potential for unbelievable damage from wind, storm surge, and inland flooding with this storm."
Brock Long, the administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, underscored the danger of the storm surge, telling "Good Morning America" Wednesday, "People do not live and survive to tell the tale about what their experience is like with storm surge. It's the most deadly part of the hurricane that comes in, it causes the most amount of destruction."

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Hurricane Florence tracker: Storm may bring unprecedented flooding, historical rainfall

MAX GOLEMBO, MORGAN WINSOR, EMILY SHAPIRO and MELISSA GRIFFIN

Hurricane Florence, a dangerous Category 3 storm, is expected to bring catastrophic flooding to the Southeast and may dump as much as 40 inches of rain in North Carolina alone.
The rainfall could be historic and the flooding unprecedented, the National Weather Service office in Newport, North Carolina, warned Wednesday.
"This will likely be the storm of a lifetime for portions of the Carolina coast, and that's saying a lot given the impacts we've seen from Hurricanes Diana, Hugo, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd, and Matthew," according to one National Weather Service meteorologist in Wilmington, North Carolina. "I can't emphasize enough the potential for unbelievable damage from wind, storm surge, and inland flooding with this storm."
Brock Long, the administrator of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, underscored the danger of the storm surge, telling "Good Morning America" Wednesday, "People do not live and survive to tell the tale about what their experience is like with storm surge. It's the most deadly part of the hurricane that comes in, it causes the most amount of destruction."
With the storm not making landfall until at least Friday, residents have more time to evacuate and prepare.
Here is the latest:
-- Overnight the storm shifted south. The coast of the Carolinas will begin to feel Florence's wrath Wednesday night or Thursday morning with gusty winds and increasing surf.
-- There's a chance of tornadoes starting Thursday as the storm meanders near or over the Carolinas.
-- Florence is forecast to stall near the South Carolina/North Carolina coastline into Friday night and then drift towards Myrtle Beach, South Carolina. Florence will likely weaken to a Category 1 storm Friday or Saturday.




PHOTO: Hurricane Florence Forecast Track (ABC News)


PHOTO: Hurricane Florence Forecast Track (ABC News)

-- Regardless of where the storm makes landfall, the impact will be extreme for the Southeast.
-- Hurricane conditions are expected late Thursday night into Saturday morning.
-- Winds could exceed 80 mph from Thursday to Saturday.




PHOTO: Ever stared down the gaping eye of a category 4 hurricane? It's chilling, even from space. #HurricaneFlorence #Horizons (Alexander Gerst/Twitter)

-- The life-threatening rain may last for days, flooding tens of thousands of structures, North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper said Wednesday.
-- Thousands of people are already in shelters, Cooper said.




PHOTO: Beachgoers walk past a mural along the boardwalk as Hurricane Florence approaches the east coast in Atlantic Beach, N.C., Sept. 12, 2018. (David Goldman/AP)

Residents and visitors flee the coast

As many as 1.7 million people have been ordered to evacuate in South Carolina, North Carolina and Virginia.
"Today is your last day to get out of the areas that have been placed under evacuation orders," FEMA's Long said. "If you don't do it now, your time is going to be running out. And once the impacts of this storm start to come in, it's going to be very difficult for first responders to get to you."




PHOTO: People drive over a drawbridge in Wrightsville Beach, N.C., as they evacuate the area in advance of Hurricane Florence, Tuesday, Sept. 11, 2018. (AP)

"If they say leave, leave," said Jennifer Forte, who was in Kitty Hawk, North Carolina, on Tuesday and headed toward Greenville. "And my job is closed. I work for the government, they’ve closed. The school’s closed until Friday, so there’s no reason to stay, really."
Cooper, the governor of North Carolina, cautioned that high winds and floodwaters could knock power out "for several days if not longer."
Latest estimates from the National Weather Service show the storm surge in the coastal areas of Wilmington, North Carolina, and Jacksonville is expected to be 9 to 13 feet. Emergency officials in New Hanover County, where Wilmington is located, said a 76-person urban search and rescue team will mobilize in the county on Thursday in case it needed.
Up to 3 million of Duke Energy's 4 million Carolina customers could experience outages, the company said.
"We’ll be asking people to prepare their emergency kit," Cooper said. "Get food, water. Medications they may need. Pull together their important documents."




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Currently more than 2,100 Soldiers, 77 @theSCANG and 50 @state_guard assisting local authorities & in advance of . Urging residents to follow emergency managers advisories and weather reports. @SCEMD.

'We're going to stay as long as we can'

Not everyone is packing their bags.
Kelly Salisbury said she's staying put in Kitty Hawk, North Carolina, even though most of the town has left.
"We’re on vacation and we have a week off and we came down from northern Virginia to have fun," she told ABC News. "Play in the water, enjoy the sunshine. Until we can’t. See what happens."
She continued, "Of course we’re worried. But we’re watching the news every day. We’re keeping track of it, seeing where it's going to hit and what category it is. And if we feel the need to leave we’ll go. But we’re going to stay as long as we can."




PHOTO: The bread aisle at Walmart is empty two days before Hurricane Florence is expected to strike Wilmington, N.C., Sept. 12, 2018. (Jim Lo Scalzo/EPA via Shutterstock)

In Awendaw, South Carolina, Chris Johnson is staying behind to watch his house while his wife, Michele, is evacuating.
"I'm not sure if I could go out in the middle of the storm on a 12-foot ladder to replace a window but I could be on the inside and try to do something ... or if the refrigerator goes out ... I can take care of all of that," Chris Johnson told ABC News.
Michele Johnson said she's worried about her husband. But "I think he's OK with me going so I don't stress him out more. It's probably good for our marriage," she noted.
Added Chris, "I think with what we know right now [with the storm track] this is the best decision for us. I think it's a great compromise. I'm glad we both came to the decision ourselves. Hopefully, the cell phone tower, which is not too far away, will still work. We can keep in touch."
Virginia Gov. Ralph Northam said 59 shelters were either opened or will open by Thursday in his state and he urged residents in the areas expected to be hard hit to be vigilant.
Northam also thanked President Donald Trump for rapidly approving his request for disaster declaration which frees up federal resources for Virginia, saying, "I appreciate the quick turnaround from President Trump's administration."
ABC News' Gio Benitez, Steve Osunsami and Rachel Katz contributed to this report.
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At least 1.7 Million people from three states must evacuate to get out of the way of hurricane Florence that will landslide ashore on Thursday

September 11, 2018 |





VietPress USA (Sept. 11, 2018): At least 1.7 million people in three states were warned to get out of the way of Hurricane Florence that reaches 140 mph (225 kmh) winds and potentially ruinous rains.

Hurricane Florenc will landslide ashore late this Thursday or late early Friday with very trong typhoon and heavy rain that could cause flooding well inland and wreak environmental havoc by washing over industrial waste sites and hog farms.

This storm is a monster. It's big and it's vicious. It is an extremely, dangerous, life-threatening, historic hurricane," North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper said.

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'Big and vicious': Hurricane Florence closes in on Carolinas

JONATHAN DREW,
WILMINGTON, N.C. (AP) — Motorists streamed inland on highways converted to one-way evacuation routes Tuesday as about 1.7 million people in three states were warned to get out of the way of Hurricane Florence, a hair-raising storm taking dead aim at the Carolinas with 140 mph (225 kph) winds and potentially ruinous rains.
Florence was expected to blow ashore late Thursday or early Friday, then slow down and wring itself out for days, unloading 1 to 2½ feet (0.3 to 0.6 meters) of rain that could cause flooding well inland and wreak environmental havoc by washing over industrial waste sites and hog farms.
Forecasters and politicians pleaded with the public to take the warnings seriously and minced no words in describing the threat.
"This storm is a monster. It's big and it's vicious. It is an extremely, dangerous, life-threatening, historic hurricane," North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper said.
He added: "The waves and the wind this storm may bring is nothing like you've ever seen. Even if you've ridden out storms before, this one is different. Don't bet your life on riding out a monster."
Some hoped for divine intervention.
"I'm prayed up and as ready as I can get," Steven Hendrick said as he filled up gasoline cans near Conway, South Carolina.
More than 5.4 million people live in areas under hurricane warnings or watches on the U.S. East Coast, according to the National Weather Service, and another 4 million people were under a tropical storm watch.
President Donald Trump declared states of emergency for North and South Carolina and Virginia, opening the way for federal aid. He said the federal government is "absolutely, totally prepared" for Florence.
All three states ordered mass evacuations along the coast. But getting out of harm's way could prove difficult.
Florence is so wide that a life-threatening storm surge was being pushed 300 miles (485 kilometers) ahead of its eye, and so wet that a swath from South Carolina to Ohio and Pennsylvania could get deluged.
People across the region rushed to buy bottled water and other supplies, board up their homes, pull their boats out of the water and get out of town.
A line of heavy traffic moved away from the coast on Interstate 40, the main route between the port city of Wilmington and inland Raleigh. Between the two cities, about two hours apart, the traffic flowed smoothly in places and became gridlocked in others because of fender-benders.
Only a trickle of vehicles was going in the opposite direction, including pickup trucks carrying plywood and other building materials.
Long lines formed at service stations, and some started running out of gas as far west as Raleigh, with bright yellow bags, signs or rags placed over the pumps to show they were out of order. Some store shelves were picked clean.
"There's no water. There's no juices. There's no canned goods," Kristin Harrington said as she shopped at a Walmart in Wilmington.
At 8 p.m., the storm was centered 725 miles (1,165 km) southeast of Cape Fear, North Carolina, moving at 17 mph (28 kph). It was a potentially catastrophic Category 4 storm but was expected to keep drawing energy from the warm water and intensify to near Category 5, which means winds of 157 mph (253 kph) or higher.
Florence is the most dangerous of three tropical systems in the Atlantic. Tropical Storm Isaac was east of the Lesser Antilles and expected to pass south of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and Cuba, while Hurricane Helene was moving northward away from land. Forecasters also were tracking two other disturbances.
The coastal surge from Florence could leave the eastern tip of North Carolina under more than 9 feet (2.75 meters) of water in spots, projections showed.
"This one really scares me," National Hurricane Center Director Ken Graham said.
Federal officials begged residents to put together emergency kits and have a plan on where to go.
"This storm is going to knock out power days into weeks. It's going to destroy infrastructure. It's going to destroy homes," said Jeff Byard, an official at the Federal Emergency Management Agency.
Forecasters said parts of North Carolina could get 20 inches (50 centimeters) of rain, if not more, with as much as 10 inches (25 centimeters) elsewhere in the state and in Virginia, parts of Maryland and Washington, D.C.
One trusted computer model, the European simulation, predicted more than 45 inches (115 centimeters) in parts of North Carolina. A year ago, people would have laughed off such a forecast, but the European model was accurate in predicting 60 inches (150 centimeters) for Hurricane Harvey in the Houston area, so "you start to wonder what these models know that we don't," University of Miami hurricane expert Brian McNoldy said.
Rain measured in feet is "looking likely," he said.
The storm forced people to cut their vacations short along the coast.
Paula Matheson of Springfield, Oregon, got the full Southern experience during her 10-week RV vacation: hot weather, good food, beautiful beaches and, finally, a hurricane evacuation.
Florence interrupted her stay on North Carolina's Outer Banks. It took Matheson and her husband nearly the whole day Monday to drive the 60 miles (100 kilometers) off the barrier island .
"It was so beautiful. The water was fabulous. Eighty-five degrees," Matheson said, pausing a moment. "I guess that's a big part of the problem."
Florence's projected path includes half a dozen nuclear power plants, pits holding coal-ash and other industrial waste, and numerous hog farms that store animal waste in huge lagoons.
Duke Energy spokesman Ryan Mosier said operators would begin shutting down nuclear plants at least two hours before hurricane-force winds arrive.
North Carolina's governor issued what he called a first-of-its-kind mandatory evacuation order for North Carolina's fragile barrier islands from one end of the coast to the other. Typically, local governments in North Carolina make the call on evacuations.
"We've seen nor'easters and we've seen hurricanes before," Cooper said, "but this one is different."
___
Associated Press writers Seth Borenstein in Washington; Jennifer Kay in Miami; Gary Robertson in Raleigh, North Carolina; Jeffrey Collins in Latta, South Carolina; Meg Kinnard in Columbia, South Carolina; Jeff Martin and Jay Reeves in Atlanta; and Tamara Lush in St. Petersburg, Florida, contributed to this report.
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Hurricane Florence strengthens to dangerous storm Category 5 that will attack North and South Carolina on Tuesday Sept. 11

September 10, 2018 |
 



VietPress USA (Sept. 10, 2018):  Today on Monday, Sept. 10, Gov. Henry McMaster on Monday mandated that, beginning Tuesday, eight counties along the coast — Horry, Georgetown, Charleston, Dorchester, Berkeley, Colleton, Beaufort and Jasper — must evacuate by no later than noon.

South Carolina residents have been ordered to evacuate from the coast as the state prepares for Hurricane Florence to make landfall later this week.

Florence exploded into a potentially catastrophic Category 4 hurricane Monday as it closed in on North and South Carolina, carrying winds up to 130 mph and water that could wreak havoc over a wide stretch of the eastern United States later this week.

Communities along a stretch of coastline that's vulnerable to rising sea levels due to climate change prepared to evacuate the storm, which forecasters expect to be close to Category 5 strength by Tuesday. The South Carolina governor ordered the state's entire coastline to be evacuated starting at noon Tuesday and predicted that 1 million people would flee. And Virginia's governor ordered a mandatory evacuation for some residents of low-lying coastal areas.
The storm's first effects were already apparent on barrier islands as dangerous rip currents hit beaches and seawater flowed over a state highway.


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Florence strengthens to Category 4, takes aim at Carolinas

JONATHAN DREW
RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — Florence exploded into a potentially catastrophic Category 4 hurricane Monday as it closed in on North and South Carolina, carrying winds up to 130 mph and water that could wreak havoc over a wide stretch of the eastern United States later this week.
Communities along a stretch of coastline that's vulnerable to rising sea levels due to climate change prepared to evacuate the storm, which forecasters expect to be close to Category 5 strength by Tuesday. The South Carolina governor ordered the state's entire coastline to be evacuated starting at noon Tuesday and predicted that 1 million people would flee. And Virginia's governor ordered a mandatory evacuation for some residents of low-lying coastal areas.
The storm's first effects were already apparent on barrier islands as dangerous rip currents hit beaches and seawater flowed over a state highway.
For many people, the challenge could be finding a safe refuge: If Florence slows to a crawl just off the coast, it could bring torrential rains to the Appalachian mountains and as far away as West Virginia, causing flash floods, mudslides and other dangerous conditions.
The storm's potential path also includes half a dozen nuclear power plants, pits holding coal-ash and other industrial waste, and numerous hog farms that store animal waste in massive open-air lagoons.
Airlines, including American and Southwest, have started letting passengers change travel plans that take them into the hurricane's possible path.
National Hurricane Center Director Ken Graham warned that Florence was forecast to linger over the Carolinas once it reaches shore. People living well inland should prepare to lose power and endure flooding and other hazards, he warned.
"It's not just the coast," Graham said. "When you stall a system like this and it moves real slow, some of that rainfall can extend well away from the center."
A warm ocean is the fuel that powers hurricanes, and Florence will be moving over waters where temperatures are peaking near 85 degrees (30 Celsius), hurricane specialist Eric Blake wrote. And with little wind shear to pull the storm apart, Florence's hurricane wind field was expected to expand over the coming days, increasing its storm surge and inland wind threats.
By 5 p.m. Monday, Florence was centered about 1,170 miles (1,880 kilometers) east-southeast of Cape Fear, North Carolina, and moving west at 13 mph (20 kph). Its center will move between Bermuda and the Bahamas on Tuesday and Wednesday and approach the coast of South Carolina or North Carolina on Thursday, the National Hurricane Center said.
Two other storms were spinning in the Atlantic. Hurricane Isaac was expected to lose strength as it reaches the Caribbean, and Helene, much farther out to sea, may veer northward into the open ocean as the 2018 hurricane season reaches its peak.
In the Pacific, Hurricane Olivia triggered warnings for multiple Hawaiian islands as it blew west toward an arrival over the state as soon as late Tuesday or early Wednesday.
Preparations for Florence were intensifying up and down the densely populated coast. Since reliable record-keeping began more than 150 years ago, North Carolina has been hit by only one Category 4 hurricane: Hazel, with 130 mph winds, in 1954.
The parking lot has been full for three days at the Ace Hardware store in coastal Calabash, North Carolina, where manager Tom Roberts said he sold 150 gas cans in two hours Monday, along with generators, plywood, rope, manual can openers, sand bags and a plethora of other items.
"I've been doing this since 1983," Roberts said as he completed an order for another 18-wheeler full of supplies. "This is the craziest one."
Many newcomers have moved to the coast in the nearly 19 years since the last strong hurricane — Floyd — threatened the area. Roberts said he's telling them to get out of town.
"I'm telling them to go inland, but I'm worried about the rain and tornadoes too," Roberts said.
Several meteorologists said Florence could do what Hurricane Harvey did last year over Texas, dumping days of rain, although not quite as bad.
"I think this is very Harvey-esque," said University of Miami hurricane expert Brian McNoldy. "Normally, a landfalling tropical cyclone just keeps on going inland, gradually dissipating and raining itself out. But on rare occasions, the steering patterns can line up such that a storm slips into a dead zone between troughs and ridges."

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